Sara Saito vs Emerson Jones — W50 Kyoto Semi-final

W50 Kyoto · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
JPN
Sara Saito
#281WTA
1393ELO
1395Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 March 2025
hard
AUS
Emerson Jones
#134WTA
1671ELO
1664Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWW
Saito S.
1-6 7-5 6-3
Jones E.
Saito S.
1762
Jones E.
6531

Sara Saito defeated Emerson Jones 1-6 7-5 6-3 in the W50 Kyoto semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emerson Jones came in ranked #134.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Saito S.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Jones E.

Jones E.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Saito S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Saito S.Jones E.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Saito S.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Jones E.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1395
Surface ELO
9.0+269 Hard Elo edge
0.4Overall Elo 1393
ELO gap
9.6Overall Elo 1671
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Saito S.Jones E.
Freshness·
—
100

Jones E.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Saito S.
Sakatsume H.
6-47-62
Semi-finals
Sakatsume H.
Shimizu A.
6-16-3
Saito S.
Jones E.
1-67-56-3
Quarter-finals
Shimizu A.
Xu M.
6-736-26-2
Saito S.
Omae A.
6-16-2
Jones E.
Liang E.
5-2
Sakatsume H.
Zhang Y.
6-33-0
R16
Jones E.
Kinoshita H.
6-36-3
Omae A.
Yamaguchi M.
6-16-3
Saito S.
Akita S.
6-36-2
Shimizu A.
Park S.
6-46-2
Zhang Y.
Wang M.
7-56-786-4
Xu M.
Okamura K.
3-66-36-4
Liang E.
Imamura S.
6-36-4
Sakatsume H.
Matsuda R.
6-36-4
R32
Wang M.
Kobori M.
6-26-1
Omae A.
Koshiishi A.
6-26-736-1
Saito S.
Arakawa H.
6-36-1
Liang E.
Kung L.
6-33-67-5
Shimizu A.
Tsutsumi K.
6-26-2
Akita S.
Hayasaka K.
4-66-27-5
Zhang Y.
Ma Y.
7-54-66-3
Okamura K.
Kuwata H.
7-56-1
Park S.
Kaji H.
6-16-2
Yamaguchi M.
Yamazaki I.
4-66-16-3
Xu M.
Giavara H.
6-36-2
Matsuda R.
Kuramochi M.
5-76-47-5
Imamura S.
Kozaki F.
6-36-3
Sakatsume H.
Nagata A.
6-16-3
Kinoshita H.
Kawaguchi N.
4-66-27-5
Jones E.
Kobayashi H.
6-11-66-2