Thiago Monteiro vs Ignacio BuseSantiago CH Semi-final

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#290ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 March 2025
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Monteiro T.
7-5 7-6
Buse I.
Monteiro T.
7772
Buse I.
5640

Thiago Monteiro defeated Ignacio Buse 7-5 7-6 in the Santiago CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #33, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Monteiro T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Monteiro T.Buse I.
Serve
41
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
87
Break points won·Clear edge
16
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
80
Tiebreaks·Even
89
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1554
Surface ELO
6.6+233 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
98

Monteiro T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d) · Buse I.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast