Emily Appleton vs Ariana Arseneault — W15 Montreal Semi-final

W15 Montreal · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
GBR
Emily Appleton
#532WTA
1278ELO
1230Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 March 2025
hard
CAN
Ariana Arseneault
#406WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
Appleton E.
7-5 6-3
Arseneault A.
Appleton E.
762
Arseneault A.
53–

Emily Appleton defeated Ariana Arseneault 7-5 6-3 in the W15 Montreal semi-final on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Appleton E.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Arseneault A.

Arseneault A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Appleton E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Appleton E.Arseneault A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Appleton E.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Arseneault A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1230
Surface ELO
5.0+30 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1278
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1273
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
4.9
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Surface transition
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Appleton E.Arseneault A.
Freshness·
—
88

Arseneault A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Mcneil C.
Appleton E.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Mcneil C.
Daavettila S.
7-56-1
Appleton E.
Arseneault A.
7-56-3
Quarter-finals
Appleton E.
Ivanova D.
6-36-4
Arseneault A.
Robinson J.
6-36-746-1
Daavettila S.
Leon S.
6-36-3
Mcneil C.
Zhu A.
7-656-3
R16
Appleton E.
Ionescu E.
6-12-66-0
Arseneault A.
Ivanov V.
6-36-3
Daavettila S.
Lacasse R.
6-16-2
Robinson J.
Xu A.
6-37-69
Zhu A.
Smith R.
6-16-1
Mcneil C.
Defalco J.
6-44-66-3
Ivanova D.
Lagaev N.
6-36-3
R32
Arseneault A.
Marton I.
6-27-5
Smith R.
Tabunshchyk A.
6-17-5
Leon S.
Daniel J.
6-35-76-4
Xu A.
Grubor A.
6-46-2
Lagaev N.
Laki M.
6-17-65
Ionescu E.
Mercier C.
6-44-66-1
Daavettila S.
Kosan K.
6-36-2
Ivanov V.
Barrera Aguirre I.
6-16-2
Zhu A.
Ninomiya M.
6-46-3
Lacasse R.
Usui K.
6-46-3
Robinson J.
Mchale C.
1-66-46-2
Defalco J.
Dunyon J.
6-16-3
Wagner Y.
Gruber T.
3-66-46-2
Ivanova D.
Bittner A.
6-26-0
Mcneil C.
Moore K.
6-42-0
Appleton E.
Mahendran K.
6-23-66-3