Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Juan Pablo VarillasSantiago CH Round of 32

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 March 2025
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Varillas J.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6362
Varillas J.
3621

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Santiago CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, defending the title, but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida had been the form player, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 55% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
55
Break points saved·Dominant
36
80
Break points won·Even
43
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
6.3+27 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
65
62

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast