Xin Yu Wang vs Jelena OstapenkoIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
1760ELO
1716Hard ELO
24 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Wang X.
6-4 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Wang X.
662
Ostapenko J.
440

Xin Yu Wang defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in defending last year's round of 64. Xin Yu Wang extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Xin Yu Wang edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardXin Yu Wang4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-02-07St. PetersburgR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Wang X.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Wang X.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Wang X.Ostapenko J.
25
Serve
10
40
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
79
Break points won·Clear edge
78
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1716
Surface ELO
5.8+79 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1760
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw