Mariano Navone vs Learner TienIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#38ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Navone M.
7-5 6-4
Tien L.
Navone M.
762
Tien L.
540

Mariano Navone defeated Learner Tien 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Mariano Navone claimed a first win over Learner Tien in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-23GenevaFclayLearner Tien6-3 3-6 5-7
2025-09-17HangzhouR32hardLearner Tien5-7 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navone M.Tien L.
3
Serve
32
51
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
97
Break points won·Slight edge
90
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1693
Surface ELO
7.7+211 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1941
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
5.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
4.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
87

Navone M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%