Karolina Muchova vs Katerina SiniakovaIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Muchova K.
7-5 6-1
Siniakova K.
Muchova K.
762
Siniakova K.
510

Karolina Muchova defeated Katerina Siniakova 7-5 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. Karolina Muchova claimed a first win over Katerina Siniakova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Karolina Muchova came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-17DubaiR32hardKaterina Siniakova6-4 4-6 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Siniakova K.
70
Serve
21
44
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
75
Break points won·Even
94
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+227 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1807
7.9Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1846
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
5.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.1
Country comfort
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
95

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw