Claire Liu vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaIndian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#111WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#61WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Liu C.
7-5 7-6
Starodubtseva Y.
Liu C.
7772
Starodubtseva Y.
562

Claire Liu defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 7-5 7-6 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yuliia Starodubtseva came in ranked #61.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Liu C.Starodubtseva Y.
Serve
9
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
75
Break points saved·Dominant
64
89
Break points won·Clear edge
78
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
66
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
5.7+34 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
1.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
71
97

Liu C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast