Varvara Lepchenko vs Taylor TownsendIndian Wells Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#175WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#79WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
Lepchenko V.
6-2 6-4
Townsend T.
Lepchenko V.
662
Townsend T.
24

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Taylor Townsend 6-2 6-4 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Townsend came in ranked #79.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lepchenko V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Townsend T.

Townsend T.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Lepchenko V.Townsend T.
Serve
70
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
72
Break points saved·Dominant
64
94
Break points won·Slight edge
65
55
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1559
Surface ELO
7.9+238 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1578
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
2.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
97

Lepchenko V.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Townsend T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast