Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal — Indian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
Sonay Kartal
GBR
Sonay Kartal
#83WTA
1874ELO
1833Hard ELO
24 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-1 6-2
Kartal S.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kartal S.
120

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Sonay Kartal 6-1 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kartal S.

Kartal S.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Kartal S.
96
Serve
59
39
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Kartal S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kartal S.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
9.8+369 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Hard Elo 1833
9.8Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1874
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.6
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Kartal S.
Freshness·
88
—

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw

Final
Andreeva M.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[5]
6-06-1
Andreeva M.[9]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-611-66-3
Quarter-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Svitolina E.[23]
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Zheng Q.[8]
6-36-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-3
Keys M.[5]
Bencic B.
6-16-1
R16
Swiatek I.[2]
Muchova K.[15]
6-16-1
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
4-67-676-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Rybakina E.[7]
6-16-2
Svitolina E.[23]
Pegula J.[4]
5-76-16-2
Bencic B.
Gauff C.[3]
3-66-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kartal S.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Kostyuk M.[18]
6-36-2
Samsonova L.[24]
Paolini J.[6]
6-06-4
R32
Kartal S.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Boulter K.[25]
6-07-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Sun L.
6-47-5
Samsonova L.[24]
Kasatkina D.[12]
2-66-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Bencic B.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-46-4
Svitolina E.[23]
Collins D.[14]
6-26-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[10]
7-656-1
Keys M.[5]
Mertens E.[28]
6-26-786-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Yastremska D.
6-06-2
Kostyuk M.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-36-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Tauson C.[22]
6-36-0
Muchova K.[15]
Siniakova K.
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[29]
7-616-2
Paolini J.[6]
Cristian J.
6-43-66-4
R64
Sakkari M.[29]
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Siniakova K.
Putintseva Y.[21]
6-26-2
Svitolina E.[23]
Krueger A.
6-16-786-3
Bencic B.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-46-736-1
Kasatkina D.[12]
Kenin S.
3-67-56-4
Shnaider D.[13]
Parks A.
6-16-1
Navarro E.[10]
Cirstea S.
3-66-17-63
Keys M.[5]
Potapova A.
6-36-0
Boulter K.[25]
Begu I.
6-726-36-0
Andreeva M.[9]
Gracheva V.
7-56-4
Tauson C.[22]
Osorio C.
7-637-5
Pegula J.[4]
Linette M.
6-46-2
Sun L.
Noskova L.[31]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-26-0
Kudermetova P.
Alexandrova E.[20]
7-56-2
Mertens E.[28]
Birrell K.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[3]
Uchijima M.
6-43-67-64
Cristian J.
Fernandez L.[27]
5-77-656-3
Kartal S.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kessler M.
7-646-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Muchova K.[15]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.[30]
6-37-5
Samsonova L.[24]
Mcnally C.
7-686-4
Dolehide C.
Lys E.
7-636-4
Yastremska D.
Jabeur O.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Azarenka V.
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Kostyuk M.[18]
Montgomery R.
6-16-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[26]
6-46-4
Collins D.[14]
Baptiste H.
5-76-26-4
Paolini J.[6]
Jovic I.
7-631-66-3
R128
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
6-41-0
Mcnally C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-40-0
Dolehide C.
Rakhimova K.
6-27-63
Wang X.
Sherif M.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Potapova A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-756-47-5
Osorio C.
Osaka N.
6-46-4
Linette M.
Stearns P.
6-44-66-3
Montgomery R.
Niemeier J.
3-67-56-2
Yastremska D.
Yuan Y.
6-26-4
Siniakova K.
Carle M.
6-26-1
Garcia C.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Azarenka V.
Ngounoue C.
6-47-67
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
6-16-2
Lamens S.
Bouzkova M.
3-66-36-3
Kudermetova P.
Liu C.
6-46-2
Begu I.
Li A.
7-53-66-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.
6-47-5
Cirstea S.
Joint M.
6-27-5
Jovic I.
Grabher J.
2-67-56-0
Uchijima M.
Raducanu E.
6-36-2
Gracheva V.
Kvitova P.
4-66-36-4
Cristian J.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Kessler M.
Blinkova A.
6-16-2
Kenin S.
Inglis M.
6-26-1
Bencic B.
Maria T.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Kalinskaya A.
6-46-3
Avanesyan E.
Davis L.
6-46-2
Krueger A.
Volynets K.
0-66-26-2
Birrell K.
Golubic V.
6-46-4
Kartal S.
Lepchenko V.
7-666-2
Sun L.
Sramkova R.
6-31-67-62