Clervie Ngounoue vs Sonay KartalIndian Wells Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#380WTA
1510ELO
1484Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#83WTA
1874ELO
1833Hard ELO
24 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Ngounoue C.
3-6 7-5 7-5
Kartal S.
Ngounoue C.
3772
Kartal S.
6551

Clervie Ngounoue defeated Sonay Kartal 3-6 7-5 7-5 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sonay Kartal came in ranked #83, but Clervie Ngounoue had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ngounoue C.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kartal S.

Kartal S.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ngounoue C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ngounoue C.Kartal S.
Serve
59
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1484
Surface ELO
8.8+349 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1874
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
6.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Ngounoue C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast