Kaja Juvan vs Laura SiegemundIndian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#127WTA
1696ELO
1637Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#40WTA
1769ELO
1713Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
Juvan K.
7-5 6-7 6-4
Siegemund L.
Juvan K.
76262
Siegemund L.
57741

Kaja Juvan defeated Laura Siegemund 7-5 6-7 6-4 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Laura Siegemund came in ranked #40.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Juvan K.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Siegemund L.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Juvan K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Juvan K.Siegemund L.
Serve
11
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
80
Break points won·Slight edge
95
89
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
76
Tiebreaks·Even
33
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1637
Surface ELO
5.8+76 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1769
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Siegemund L.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast