Holger Rune vs Tallon GriekspoorIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#58ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
Rune H.
5-7 6-0 6-3
Griekspoor T.
Rune H.
5662
Griekspoor T.
7031

Holger Rune defeated Tallon Griekspoor 5-7 6-0 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tallon Griekspoor came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Holger Rune claimed a first win over Tallon Griekspoor in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayTallon Griekspoor6-4 4-6 6-3
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayTallon Griekspoor7-6(8) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Griekspoor T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Griekspoor T.
47
Serve
51
58
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
76
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
84
34
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
5.5+52 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1789
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
4.6
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.4
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Griekspoor T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%