Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Novak DjokovicIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-2 3-6 6-1
Djokovic N.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6362
Djokovic N.
2611

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Novak Djokovic 6-2 3-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Botic Van De Zandschulp claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
2022-10-03AstanaR16hardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Djokovic N.
41
Serve
68
43
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
8.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
99
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
68
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1711
Surface ELO
8.9+311 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2059
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
49

Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%