Francisco Cerundolo vs Mackenzie McdonaldIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Cerundolo F.
4-6 7-6 6-1
Mcdonald M.
Cerundolo F.
47762
Mcdonald M.
66311

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 4-6 7-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2023-06-26EastbourneSFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo2-6 7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo F.Mcdonald M.
13
Serve
25
67
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Clear edge
86
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+276 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1604
8.3Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1606
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
7.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
5.1
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.3
Country comfort
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
89

Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%