Kimberly Birrell vs Cristina BucsaIndian Wells Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#72WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Birrell K.
6-4 6-4
Bucsa C.
Birrell K.
662
Bucsa C.
44

Kimberly Birrell defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cristina Bucsa came in ranked #35.

Key context

  • Match story: Kimberly Birrell edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Birrell K.Bucsa C.
22
Serve
22
43
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
60
Break points saved·Even
77
79
Break points won·Slight edge
83
93
Deciding sets·Even
65
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+42 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1710
5.2Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Birrell K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast