Polina Kudermetova vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Kudermetova P.
7-5 6-2
Alexandrova E.
Kudermetova P.
762
Alexandrova E.
520

Polina Kudermetova defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 64. Polina Kudermetova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-16SeoulR16hardPolina Kudermetova6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kudermetova P.Alexandrova E.
Serve
52
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
51
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
94
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
61
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1646
Surface ELO
7.1+153 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1844
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Kudermetova P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw