Victoria Mboko vs Maja ChwalinskaW75 Porto Round of 32

W75 Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#12WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 March 2025
hard
#22WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Mboko V.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Chwalinska M.
Mboko V.
3662
Chwalinska M.
6231

Victoria Mboko defeated Maja Chwalinska 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the W75 Porto round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Victoria Mboko came in ranked #12.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mboko V.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Chwalinska M.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mboko V.Chwalinska M.
58
Serve
53
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
97
65
Break points saved·Dominant
95
50
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
80
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+271 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1736
8.7Overall Elo 2006
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1833
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Chwalinska M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast