Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Juan Pablo VarillasCordoba CH Quarter-final

Cordoba CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 March 2025
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Cerundolo J.
6-4 6-2
Varillas J.
Cerundolo J.
662
Varillas J.
420

Juan Manuel Cerundolo defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-2 in the Cordoba CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Juan Manuel Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-22CordobaQ2clayJuan Manuel Cerundolo7-6(7) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo J.Varillas J.
15
Serve
41
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
55
Break points saved·Even
82
80
Break points won·Dominant
80
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+331 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1431
7.7Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1440
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
7.1
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
8.3
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
62

Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast