Learner Tien vs Alexander ZverevAcapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Tien L.
6-3 6-4
Zverev A.
Tien L.
662
Zverev A.
340

Learner Tien defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Learner Tien claimed a first win over Alexander Zverev in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-7(5) 6-1 7-6(3)
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tien L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tien L.Zverev A.
32
Serve
71
67
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
7.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
94
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Slight edge
83
90
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1904
Surface ELO
6.9+137 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 2100
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
8.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
3.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
52

Tien L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%