Tomas Machac vs Learner TienAcapulco Quarter-final

Acapulco · ATP · Quarter-final
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Machac T.
6-3 7-5
Tien L.
Machac T.
672
Tien L.
350

Tomas Machac defeated Learner Tien 6-3 7-5 in the Acapulco quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayTomas Machac6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Tien L.
30
Serve
32
25
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
90
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Even
80
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1829
Surface ELO
5.8+75 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1941
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Tien L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%