Adam Walton vs Aleksandar KovacevicAcapulco Qualifying Round 2

Acapulco · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Walton A.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Kovacevic A.
Walton A.
3662
Kovacevic A.
6231

Adam Walton defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Acapulco qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Adam Walton claimed a first win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23AcapulcoR32hardAleksandar Kovacevic7-6(1) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Walton A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Walton A.Kovacevic A.
35
Serve
54
17
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
53
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Clear edge
20
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
70
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+58 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1611
5.7Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
54
100

Walton A.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%