Maya Joint vs Solana Sierra — Merida Qualifying Round 2

Merida · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
Maya Joint
AUS
Maya Joint
#87WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
Solana Sierra
ARG
Solana Sierra
#56WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Joint M.
6-1 6-1
Sierra S.
Joint M.
662
Sierra S.
11–

Maya Joint defeated Solana Sierra 6-1 6-1 in the Merida qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Solana Sierra came in ranked #56.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Joint M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Sierra S.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Joint M.Sierra S.
17
Serve
12
45
Return
6

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Joint M.Sierra S.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Joint M.Sierra S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
81
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
92
Tiebreaks·
—
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Joint M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Sierra S.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1657
5.9Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1783
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
5.6
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Joint M.Sierra S.
Freshness·Even
91
90

Joint M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sierra S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Arango E.
Carle M.
6-25-76-2
Jones F.
Kung L.
3-66-36-2
Joint M.
Sierra S.
6-16-1
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Martic P.
Chang H.
6-46-1
Saville D.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-1
Q1
Carle M.
Rodriguez V.
6-36-2
Arango E.
Kawa K.
7-56-2
Kung L.
Todoni A.
6-37-62
Jones F.
Sanchez A.
6-06-1
Joint M.
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Sierra S.
Fruhvirtova L.
2-67-636-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Pavlou D.
6-46-3
Jeanjean L.
Sharma A.
4-67-56-1
Martic P.
Karatancheva L.
7-56-4
Chang H.
Hibino N.
6-16-4
Saville D.
Perez E.
7-656-1
Lepchenko V.
Strakhova V.
6-36-1