Leolia Jeanjean vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaMerida Qualifying Round 2

Merida · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#110WTA
1653ELO
1588Hard ELO
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#61WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Jeanjean L.
6-1 6-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Jeanjean L.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
14

Leolia Jeanjean defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-1 6-4 in the Merida qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yuliia Starodubtseva came in ranked #61. Leolia Jeanjean extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardLeolia Jeanjean7-5 1-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Jeanjean L.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Jeanjean L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jeanjean L.Starodubtseva Y.
Serve
9
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
75
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
89
Break points won·Slight edge
90
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
66
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1588
Surface ELO
5.9+81 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1653
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
0.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
97

Jeanjean L.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast