Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniil MedvedevDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#58ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Griekspoor T.
2-6 7-6 7-5
Medvedev D.
Griekspoor T.
27972
Medvedev D.
66751

Tallon Griekspoor defeated Daniil Medvedev 2-6 7-6 7-5 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Griekspoor T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Griekspoor T.Medvedev D.
51
Serve
47
0
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Even
8.2
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
34
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1777
Surface ELO
7.3+186 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1789
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1977
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
85

Griekspoor T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%