Luca Nardi vs Marton FucsovicsDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#76ATP
1756ELO
1719Hard ELO
$550kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLL
Nardi L.
1-6 6-2 6-3
Fucsovics M.
Nardi L.
1662
Fucsovics M.
6231

Luca Nardi defeated Marton Fucsovics 1-6 6-2 6-3 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marton Fucsovics came in ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Luca Nardi had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Luca Nardi claimed a first win over Marton Fucsovics in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31BucharestR32clayMarton Fucsovics6-3 6-1
2025-02-24DubaiQ2hardMarton Fucsovics7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fucsovics M.

Fucsovics M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Serve advantage — Fucsovics M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nardi L.Fucsovics M.
Serve
23
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
97
Break points won·Dominant
15
65
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
20
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
6.7+147 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1756
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
9.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
5.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
85

Nardi L.: 17 days rest · Fucsovics M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%