Caroline Dolehide vs Varvara GrachevaAustin Round of 16

Austin · WTA · Round of 16
#214WTA
1673ELO
1638Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Dolehide C.
5-7 6-2 6-2
Gracheva V.
Dolehide C.
5662
Gracheva V.
7221

Caroline Dolehide defeated Varvara Gracheva 5-7 6-2 6-2 in the Austin round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Dolehide C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Dolehide C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dolehide C.Gracheva V.
Serve
3
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (57 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
76
Break points won·Dominant
57
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
90
Tiebreaks·Even
67
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1638
Surface ELO
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1810
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Dolehide C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast