Jessica Pegula vs Nuria Parrizas DiazAustin Round of 16

Austin · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#626WTA
1398ELO
1400Hard ELO
34 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWW
Pegula J.
6-1 6-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Pegula J.
662
Parrizas Diaz N.
130

Jessica Pegula defeated Nuria Parrizas Diaz 6-1 6-3 in the Austin round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardJessica Pegula7-6(3) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Parrizas Diaz N.

Parrizas Diaz N.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Parrizas Diaz N.
68
Serve
73
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
34
Break points saved·Dominant
96
36
Break points won·Clear edge
99
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
10.0+659 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1400
10.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1398
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast