Tommy Paul vs Gabriel DialloAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#88ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Paul T.
6-2 6-2
Diallo G.
Paul T.
662
Diallo G.
220

Tommy Paul defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-2 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardTommy Paul6-7(5) 6-3 6-1 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Diallo G.
71
Serve
38
54
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
8.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
64
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
87
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.3+203 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1678
7.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1716
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
83

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Diallo G.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%