Taro Daniel vs Alex RybakovSan Diego CH Round of 16

San Diego CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#194ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#428ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Daniel T.
7-6 7-6
Rybakov A.
Daniel T.
711772
Rybakov A.
69610

Taro Daniel defeated Alex Rybakov 7-6 7-6 in the San Diego CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Taro Daniel came in ranked #194, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Taro Daniel extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-01WashingtonQ2hardTaro Daniel6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Rybakov A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve advantage — Rybakov A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
84
Break points won·Dominant
37
5
Deciding sets·Even
18
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.1+202 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1310
6.9Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1352
10.0
H2H
0.0
2.8
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
88

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 83 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast