Federico Coria vs Alejandro Tabilo — Santiago Round of 16

Santiago · ATP · Round of 16
Federico Coria
ARG
Federico Coria
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
clay
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI2
Alejandro Tabilo
#31ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Coria F.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Tabilo A.
Coria F.
713462
Tabilo A.
611631

Federico Coria defeated Alejandro Tabilo 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Santiago round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #31, defending last year's final.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Coria closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Serve advantage — Tabilo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Coria F.Tabilo A.
—
Serve
83
—
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Coria F.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
5.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Coria F.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
74
Break points saved·Dominant
71
97
Break points won·Clear edge
72
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Coria F.
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Tabilo A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
8.2+266 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1819
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
2.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Coria F.Tabilo A.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 29%
Final
Djere L.
Baez S.[3]
6-43-67-5
Semi-finals
Baez S.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-13-66-2
Djere L.
Cerundolo F.[1]
6-14-66-3
Quarter-finals
Baez S.[3]
Dzumhur D.
6-46-4
Cerundolo F.[1]
Etcheverry T.[5]
4-66-37-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Coria F.
6-46-3
Djere L.
Faria J.
7-654-66-4
R16
Cerundolo F.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
6-24-67-65
Baez S.[3]
Comesana F.
6-35-77-65
Djere L.
Martinez P.[4]
6-16-4
Dzumhur D.
Navone M.[6]
6-43-66-3
Etcheverry T.[5]
Garin C.
6-26-4
Coria F.
Tabilo A.[2]
7-6114-66-3
Faria J.
Heide G.
6-727-656-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Monteiro T.
4-67-626-3
R32
Dzumhur D.
Moutet C.
6-23-66-2
Heide G.
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Jarry N.[7]
5-76-37-69
Comesana F.
Meligeni Alves F.
7-637-64
Faria J.
Darderi L.[8]
6-36-4
Navone M.[6]
Shevchenko A.
6-26-2
Garin C.
Ficovich J.
2-66-46-4
Monteiro T.
Cerundolo J.
6-33-67-62
Hanfmann Y.
Diaz Acosta F.
7-56-3
Coria F.
Barrios Vera T.
6-16-0
Djere L.
Buse I.
6-36-4
Etcheverry T.[5]
Gaston H.
6-26-3