Hanna Chang vs Nao Hibino — Merida Qualifying Round 1

Merida · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
USA
Hanna Chang
#329WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
Nao Hibino
JPN
Nao Hibino
#246WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Chang H.
6-1 6-4
Hibino N.
Chang H.
662
Hibino N.
14–

Hanna Chang defeated Nao Hibino 6-1 6-4 in the Merida qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chang H.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Hibino N.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Chang H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Chang H.Hibino N.
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Chang H.Hibino N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
15
39
Break points won·Clear edge
67
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
66
Tiebreaks·
—
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Chang H.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Hibino N.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1314
Surface ELO
7.3+209 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1354
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1560
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Chang H.Hibino N.
Freshness·
—
100

Hibino N.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Arango E.
Carle M.
6-25-76-2
Jones F.
Kung L.
3-66-36-2
Joint M.
Sierra S.
6-16-1
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Martic P.
Chang H.
6-46-1
Saville D.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-1
Q1
Carle M.
Rodriguez V.
6-36-2
Arango E.
Kawa K.
7-56-2
Kung L.
Todoni A.
6-37-62
Jones F.
Sanchez A.
6-06-1
Joint M.
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Sierra S.
Fruhvirtova L.
2-67-636-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Pavlou D.
6-46-3
Jeanjean L.
Sharma A.
4-67-56-1
Martic P.
Karatancheva L.
7-56-4
Chang H.
Hibino N.
6-16-4
Saville D.
Perez E.
7-656-1
Lepchenko V.
Strakhova V.
6-36-1