Jessica Pegula vs Anna BlinkovaAustin Quarter-final

Austin · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#114WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Pegula J.
6-2 6-2
Blinkova A.
Pegula J.
662
Blinkova A.
220

Jessica Pegula defeated Anna Blinkova 6-2 6-2 in the Austin quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardJessica Pegula6-1 6-3
2024-03-06Indian WellsR64hardAnna Blinkova6-2 3-6 6-3
2024-02-26San DiegoQFhardJessica Pegula6-1 2-6 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(2) 6-2 6-1
2023-04-03CharlestonR32clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Blinkova A.
68
Serve
0
73
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
66
Break points saved·Dominant
96
58
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
68
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
10.0+404 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1654
10.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1694
6.1
H2H
3.9
6.0
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
67

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Blinkova A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast