Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo BerrettiniDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Tsitsipas S.
7-6 1-6 6-4
Berrettini M.
Tsitsipas S.
77162
Berrettini M.
65641

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 1-6 6-4 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Stefanos Tsitsipas came in leading the head-to-head 5–1. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2024-07-15GstaadSFclayMatteo Berrettini7-6(6) 7-5
2023-01-02United CupSFhardStefanos Tsitsipas4-6 7-6(2) 6-4
2021-05-10Rome MastersR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(3) 6-2
2019-01-14Australian OpenR128hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4)
2017-08-28US OpenQ2hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-7(6) 7-6(4) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Berrettini M.
57
Serve
57
39
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
8.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
81
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
77
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Even
98
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+5 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1797
5.4Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1831
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
76

Tsitsipas S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%