Matteo Berrettini vs Christopher OconnellDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
1673ELO
1657Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Berrettini M.
7-6 6-2
Oconnell C.
Berrettini M.
7762
Oconnell C.
6220

Matteo Berrettini defeated Christopher Oconnell 7-6 6-2 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardMatteo Berrettini6-2 7-6(2)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardMatteo Berrettini7-6(9) 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Oconnell C.

Oconnell C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Oconnell C.
57
Serve
20
10
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.7
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
49
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
53
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
38
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+141 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1657
7.1Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1673
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.9
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
5.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%