Matteo Berrettini vs Gael MonfilsDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#266ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Berrettini M.
7-5 6-4
Monfils G.
Berrettini M.
762
Monfils G.
540

Matteo Berrettini defeated Gael Monfils 7-5 6-4 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-17Australian OpenQFhardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 3-6 3-6 6-2
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-2
2019-08-26US OpenQFhardMatteo Berrettini3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Monfils G.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Monfils G.
57
Serve
26
10
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Even
8.8
9.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
53
76
Deciding sets·Even
91
92
Tiebreaks·Even
98
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
5.1+14 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1784
5.2Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1803
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
8.6
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%