Luca Nardi vs Zizou BergsDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#37ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$995kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Nardi L.
6-4 7-6
Bergs Z.
Nardi L.
6772
Bergs Z.
4630

Luca Nardi defeated Zizou Bergs 6-4 7-6 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Zizou Bergs came in ranked #37, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Luca Nardi had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Luca Nardi claimed a first win over Zizou Bergs in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AucklandR16hardZizou Bergs6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nardi L.Bergs Z.
Serve
25
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
69
Break points saved·Even
92
95
Break points won·Slight edge
15
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
20
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
7.0+185 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1808
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.0
Surface form
6.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
70

Nardi L.: 17 days rest · Bergs Z.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%