Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes BaenaAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Rune H.
7-6 6-3
Carballes Baena R.
Rune H.
7762
Carballes Baena R.
6430

Holger Rune defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6 6-3 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's semi-final. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardRoberto Carballes Baena6-3 4-6 6-3 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassHolger Rune6-3 7-6(3) 6-4
2022-01-31CordobaR32clayRoberto Carballes Baena6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Carballes Baena R.
47
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
84
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+132 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1592
7.0Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%