Felix Auger Aliassime vs Marin CilicDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Auger Aliassime F.
6-4 3-6 6-2
Cilic M.
Auger Aliassime F.
6362
Cilic M.
4621

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR32clayFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 6-3
2025-10-20BaselR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 7-6(2)
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime2-6 7-6(7) 6-2 7-6(4)
2021-06-07StuttgartFgrassMarin Cilic7-6(2) 6-3
2020-11-02Paris MastersR64hardMarin Cilic6-0 3-6 6-3
2019-07-29WashingtonR16hardMarin Cilic6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Cilic M.
74
Serve
57
44
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.0
9.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
76
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
50
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+171 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1762
7.1Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
98

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%