Moyuka Uchijima vs Jelena Ostapenko — Dubai Round of 64

Dubai · WTA · Round of 64
JPN
Moyuka Uchijima
#108WTA
1681ELO
1633Hard ELO
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Uchijima M.
6-3 6-3
Ostapenko J.
Uchijima M.
662
Ostapenko J.
330

Moyuka Uchijima defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-3 6-3 in the Dubai round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Uchijima M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Uchijima M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Uchijima M.Ostapenko J.
0
Serve
10
8
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Uchijima M.Ostapenko J.
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Uchijima M.Ostapenko J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
66
79
Break points won·Slight edge
91
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
96
Tiebreaks·Even
88
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Uchijima M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Ostapenko J.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1633
Surface ELO
6.5+161 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1855
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
6.8
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
4.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Uchijima M.Ostapenko J.
Freshness·
—
92

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Andreeva M.[12]
Tauson C.
7-616-1
Semi-finals
Tauson C.
Muchova K.[14]
6-46-746-3
Andreeva M.[12]
Rybakina E.[6]
6-44-66-3
Quarter-finals
Muchova K.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-27-5
Rybakina E.[6]
Kenin S.
6-27-62
Andreeva M.[12]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-36-3
Tauson C.
Noskova L.
7-646-4
R16
Andreeva M.[12]
Stearns P.
6-16-1
Tauson C.
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Badosa P.[9]
4-67-687-62
Muchova K.[14]
Kessler M.
6-31-67-65
Cirstea S.
Navarro E.[8]
7-653-67-5
Noskova L.
Pegula J.[5]
6-37-68
Kenin S.
Paolini J.[4]
6-46-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Yastremska D.
7-56-0
R32
Stearns P.
Zheng Q.[7]
3-66-46-4
Kenin S.
Kostyuk M.
5-77-677-65
Rybakina E.[6]
Uchijima M.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kudermetova V.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Samsonova L.
6-06-4
Andreeva M.[12]
Vondrousova M.
7-56-0
Navarro E.[8]
Bencic B.
7-662-66-3
Cirstea S.
Parks A.
3-66-46-1
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.[11]
7-684-66-3
Badosa P.[9]
Mertens E.
6-26-1
Paolini J.[4]
Lys E.
6-27-5
Tauson C.
Svitolina E.
7-653-67-64
Muchova K.[14]
Raducanu E.
7-666-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Azarenka V.
6-06-2
Yastremska D.
Potapova A.
6-26-3
Kessler M.
Gauff C.[3]
6-47-5
R64
Shnaider D.[11]
Frech M.
6-26-2
Raducanu E.
Sakkari M.
6-46-2
Mertens E.
Fernandez L.
6-26-2
Andreeva M.[12]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Svitolina E.
Kalinskaya A.[15]
6-16-2
Tauson C.
Sramkova R.
7-676-0
Noskova L.
Putintseva Y.
6-27-65
Azarenka V.
Kalinina A.
2-67-646-4
Badosa P.[9]
Sun L.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Ito A.
6-06-2
Cirstea S.
Kasatkina D.[10]
6-16-4
Kudermetova V.
Alexandrova E.
3-66-46-3
Samsonova L.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-2
Uchijima M.
Ostapenko J.
6-36-3
Muchova K.[14]
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Potapova A.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-36-0
Yastremska D.
Linette M.
6-37-5
Kessler M.
Anisimova A.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Jabeur O.
7-666-4
Lys E.
Begu I.
5-77-56-3
Kostyuk M.
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Parks A.
Wang X.
6-36-3
Vondrousova M.
Garcia C.
6-26-2
Kenin S.
Vekic D.[16]
7-56-3