Luca Nardi vs Zhizhen Zhang — Doha Round of 32

Doha · ATP · Round of 32
ITA
Luca Nardi
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
Zhizhen Zhang
CHN
Zhizhen Zhang
#161ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Nardi L.
6-4 6-3
Zhang Z.
Nardi L.
662
Zhang Z.
430

Luca Nardi defeated Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 6-3 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Zhizhen Zhang came in ranked #161, defending last year's round of 16. Luca Nardi extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Nardi closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardLuca Nardi6-3 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Zhang Z.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nardi L.Zhang Z.
—
Serve
24
—
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Zhang Z.
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
32%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
8.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Zhang Z.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
56
Break points saved·Even
92
94
Break points won·Even
15
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
20
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Zhang Z.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
5.8+70 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1682
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Zhang Z.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Nardi L.: 17 days rest · Zhang Z.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%
Final
Rublev A.[5]
Draper J.[8]
7-55-76-1
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Auger Aliassime F.
7-54-67-65
Draper J.[8]
Lehecka J.
3-67-626-3
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-30-0
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[2]
6-13-67-68
Lehecka J.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-33-66-4
Draper J.[8]
Berrettini M.
4-66-46-3
R16
Auger Aliassime F.
Medjedovic H.
W/O
Draper J.[8]
Oconnell C.
6-26-1
Berrettini M.
Griekspoor T.
7-646-766-4
Lehecka J.
Marozsan F.
6-46-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nardi L.
6-14-66-3
Rublev A.[5]
Borges N.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Bergs Z.
6-26-1
R32
Griekspoor T.
Struff J.
7-657-67
Oconnell C.
Habib H.
7-677-63
Rublev A.[5]
Bublik A.
6-36-4
Borges N.
Virtanen O.
7-666-3
Bergs Z.
Bautista Agut R.
6-47-64
Berrettini M.
Djokovic N.[3]
7-646-2
Lehecka J.
Dimitrov G.[7]
6-46-4
Medjedovic H.
Tsitsipas S.[6]
7-665-77-65
Alcaraz C.[1]
Cilic M.
6-46-4
Marozsan F.
Dougaz A.
7-56-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shelbayh A.
7-56-3
Nardi L.
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Draper J.[8]
Popyrin A.
6-27-64
Auger Aliassime F.
Halys Q.
4-66-47-62
De Minaur A.[2]
Safiullin R.
6-17-5
Medvedev D.[4]
Khachanov K.
4-67-56-3