Alex De Minaur vs Roman SafiullinDoha Round of 32

Doha · ATP · Round of 32
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
De Minaur A.
6-1 7-5
Safiullin R.
De Minaur A.
672
Safiullin R.
150

Alex De Minaur defeated Roman Safiullin 6-1 7-5 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Safiullin R.
48
Serve
80
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
68
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
97
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.9+232 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1704
7.6Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1750
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
73
70

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%