Jasmine Paolini vs Eva LysDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#76WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Paolini J.
6-2 7-5
Lys E.
Paolini J.
672
Lys E.
250

Jasmine Paolini defeated Eva Lys 6-2 7-5 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartR32clayJasmine Paolini6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lys E.

Lys E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Lys E.
31
Serve
11
55
Return
81

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
60
Break points saved·Dominant
87
57
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
66
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+103 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1770
6.7Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1791
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
98

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Lys E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw