Elena Rybakina vs Sofia KeninDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · WTA · Quarter-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Rybakina E.
6-2 7-6
Kenin S.
Rybakina E.
6772
Kenin S.
2620

Elena Rybakina defeated Sofia Kenin 6-2 7-6 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardElena Rybakina7-6(6) 7-6(5)
2020-02-17DubaiR32hardElena Rybakina6-7(2) 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Kenin S.
100
Serve
13
34
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Slight edge
96
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+451 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1659
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1694
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
6.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
92

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw