Sofia Kenin vs Marta KostyukDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Kenin S.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Kostyuk M.
Kenin S.
579772
Kostyuk M.
767651

Sofia Kenin defeated Marta Kostyuk 5-7 7-6 7-6 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kenin S.Kostyuk M.
13
Serve
53
0
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
92
Break points saved·Even
92
93
Break points won·Clear edge
85
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
8.4+309 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2057
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
69

Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw