Alexandre Muller vs Joao FonsecaRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#132ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
clay
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Muller A.
6-1 7-6
Fonseca J.
Muller A.
6772
Fonseca J.
1640

Alexandre Muller defeated Joao Fonseca 6-1 7-6 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexandre Muller came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve advantage — Fonseca J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Muller A.Fonseca J.
Serve
64
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
76
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Even
44
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
6.8+228 Clay Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
8.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
3.3
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Muller A.: 15 days rest · Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
39°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%