Andrey Rublev vs Jack DraperDoha Final

Doha · ATP · Final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
Rublev A.
7-5 5-7 6-1
Draper J.
Rublev A.
7562
Draper J.
5711

Andrey Rublev defeated Jack Draper 7-5 5-7 6-1 in the Doha final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 5–7 6–1.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardAndrey Rublev6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4
2022-08-01WashingtonR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev2-6 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Draper J.
55
Serve
52
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
72
83
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.6+66 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Hard Elo 1783
4.8Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1822
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.8
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Draper J.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%