Yue Yuan vs Cristina Bucsa — Dubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
CHN
Yue Yuan
#121WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
Cristina Bucsa
ESP
Cristina Bucsa
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Yuan Y.
6-3 6-1
Bucsa C.
Yuan Y.
662
Bucsa C.
31–

Yue Yuan defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-3 6-1 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cristina Bucsa came in ranked #35. Yue Yuan extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardYue Yuan6-2 6-2
2024-08-05TorontoR64hardYue Yuan6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Yuan Y.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yuan Y.Bucsa C.
30
Serve
22
35
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Yuan Y.Bucsa C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Yuan Y.Bucsa C.
Clutch Rating·Even
64
60
Break points saved·Even
81
79
Break points won·Clear edge
77
93
Deciding sets·Slight edge
60
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yuan Y.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Bucsa C.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
6.2+100 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1722
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.7
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Ito A.
Krueger A.
7-56-2
Begu I.
Yuan Y.
7-56-4
Kudermetova V.
Simunyu C.
6-27-5
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-36-2
Lamens S.
Zhang S.
6-26-1
Parks A.
Pera B.
6-37-5
Lys E.
Rakhimova K.
6-16-3
Uchijima M.
Zakharova A.
7-634-66-4
Q1
Krueger A.
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Ito A.
Townsend T.
6-36-4
Yuan Y.
Bucsa C.
6-36-1
Kudermetova V.
Paquet C.
7-646-4
Simunyu C.
Zarazua R.
6-43-0
Siniakova K.
Mladenovic K.
6-46-0
Cristian J.
Ruse E.
2-66-26-1
Zhang S.
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Lamens S.
Saville D.
6-33-66-3
Parks A.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-3
Pera B.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-2
Lys E.
Li A.
4-66-12-0
Rakhimova K.
Semenistaja D.
6-16-0
Zakharova A.
Tomova V.
6-44-2
Uchijima M.
Rus A.
6-46-2