Sebastian Baez vs Alexandre Muller — Rio de Janeiro Final

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Final
Sebastian Baez
ARG5
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
clay
Alexandre Muller
FRA
Alexandre Muller
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Baez S.
6-2 6-3
Muller A.
Baez S.
662
Muller A.
230

Sebastian Baez defeated Alexandre Muller 6-2 6-3 in the Rio de Janeiro final on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve advantage — Baez S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Muller A.
1
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Muller A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Muller A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
75
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Dominant
86
44
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
95
Tiebreaks·Even
83
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Muller A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+89 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1628
5.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Muller A.
Freshness·Even
95
98

Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
39°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%
Final
Baez S.[5]
Muller A.
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Baez S.[5]
Ugo Carabelli C.
3-66-16-1
Muller A.
Comesana F.
7-56-736-3
Quarter-finals
Comesana F.
Zverev A.[1]
4-66-36-4
Baez S.[5]
Tseng C.
6-46-1
Muller A.
Cerundolo F.[4]
7-56-1
Ugo Carabelli C.
Faria J.
7-656-4
R16
Comesana F.
Jarry N.[6]
7-646-717-66
Zverev A.[1]
Shevchenko A.
7-617-66
Ugo Carabelli C.
Dzumhur D.
6-46-4
Baez S.[5]
Navone M.
6-41-66-3
Cerundolo F.[4]
Darderi L.
6-716-36-2
Faria J.
Munar J.
6-42-66-3
Muller A.
Etcheverry T.[8]
7-57-65
Tseng C.
Monteiro T.
6-746-37-64
R32
Darderi L.
Dellien H.
7-622-2
Cerundolo F.[4]
Gaston H.
7-696-0
Ugo Carabelli C.
Martinez P.[7]
4-66-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Lajovic D.
6-36-4
Muller A.
Fonseca J.
6-17-64
Jarry N.[6]
Cerundolo J.
4-66-36-4
Baez S.[5]
Burruchaga R.
6-37-5
Navone M.
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-3
Tseng C.
Tabilo A.[3]
6-27-5
Etcheverry T.[8]
Moutet C.
6-37-61
Munar J.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-43-66-0
Monteiro T.
Diaz Acosta F.
3-66-37-63
Zverev A.[1]
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-4
Comesana F.
Heide G.
7-626-776-3
Faria J.
Barrios Vera T.
6-27-5
Shevchenko A.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-46-2