Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres BurruchagaRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
clay
#65ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
Baez S.
6-3 7-5
Burruchaga R.
Baez S.
672
Burruchaga R.
350

Sebastian Baez defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 7-5 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, defending the title. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Roman Andres Burruchaga in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayRoman Andres Burruchaga6-2 5-7 2-6 0-2

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Burruchaga R.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Burruchaga R.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
67
Break points saved·Dominant
96
68
Break points won·Clear edge
86
73
Deciding sets·Even
88
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Clay Elo 1694
4.9Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1711
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
4.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
90

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Burruchaga R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
39°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%